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Rent Rising, Still Lagging Behind Inflation as Gas Prices Spike

Back to libraryAnna Helhoski, Taryn Phaneuf, Rick VanderKnyffMay 30, 2026
Rent Rising, Still Lagging Behind Inflation as Gas Prices Spike

Rent Rising, Still Lagging Behind Inflation as Gas Prices Spike

Rents were up 3.3% in April, compared to the same time last year, according to the latest consumer price index report.

Anna Helhoski
Written by
Taryn Phaneuf
Co-written by
Rick VanderKnyff
Edited by other Updated Updated on May 13. Updated on May 13.

Tracking rent prices against inflation

The latest consumer price index report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released on May 12, shows that in April the shelter index (3.3%), which includes rent, continues to lag behind annual inflation (3.8%). The disparity is due to the overwhelming spike in energy (+17.9%) — specifically the gasoline index (+28.4%) — which is pushing up overall inflation. Over the 12-month period ending in April, rent alone was up 3.3%, according to the BLS, matching the overall 12-month increase for shelter. In March, the index was 3%. It’s worth noting that rent increases in the CPI look different from data reported by rental websites like Zillow and Redfin because there’s a lag in how rent data is reflected in the CPI. That means it takes longer for rental shifts in the market to show up in the report. The lag is primarily due to the cycle of renewals for leases. Since most leases last around a year, a renter’s costs will stay the same all year long. It’s only when the lease ends that a better understanding of the rental market emerges. » Stay informed: Stay informed: Check out NerdWallet's news hub for all the latest. Subscribe to one of NerdWallet's free newsletters. It’s worth noting that rent increases in the CPI look different from data reported by rental websites like Zillow because there’s a lag in how rent data is reflected in the CPI. That means it takes longer for rental shifts in the market to show up in the report. The lag is primarily due to the cycle of renewals for leases. Since most leases last around a year, a renter’s costs will stay the same all year long. It’s only when the lease ends that a better understanding of the rental market emerges.

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Rents are more unaffordable than ever, here’s why

Over the past few years, it’s become more expensive than ever to rent — especially since the beginning of the pandemic. In fact, rents were unaffordable in 2023 for 22.6 million households that paid rent — an all-time high — according to a report on America’s Rental Housing by the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University released in December. » MORE: Cost of living calculator » MORE: Spending 30% of your income on rent means a household is “moderately rent burdened,” but spending 50% or more means a household is “severely rent burdened” by federal standards. The Harvard study found that in 2023, half of all renters spent 30% or more of their income on rent and utilities, while more than a quarter of all renters spent 50% or more of their income on housing costs. » MORE: How to pay rent when you can’t afford it » MORE:

Why is rent so high?

Rent prices have spiked since 2020 because of a combination of factors, including inflation, low inventory, barriers to homeownership and shifts in tenant demand. Here’s how those factors have played out: Inflation. Higher costs across the board mean landlords pass on higher costs (such as rising wages for maintenance workers or repair costs) to renters. Higher rent costs contribute to inflation and the cycle repeats. Inflation. Lack of inventory. There is a shortage of vacant rental properties in general, and of affordable ones in particular. Lack of inventory. Barriers to homeownership. Prospective homeowners remain renters for longer as they face high demand and low inventory of existing homes, rising mortgage interest rates, as well as supply chain disruptions that have made it more expensive and difficult to construct new homes. Barriers to homeownership. Expired rent freezes and discounts. Landlords made up for pandemic-era rent freezes and steep discounts in urban areas by hiking prices on new units and lease renewals. Expired rent freezes and discounts. A shifting workforce. As the pandemic increased the popularity of remote work, deep-pocketed renters sought larger homes in areas that had been previously relatively low-cost. This migration increased rents in suburban areas more than it lowered them in urban ones, yielding a net increase in rents. A shifting workforce. More demand to live alone. Prospective renters are increasingly looking for studio and one-bedroom apartments, driving up demand for available housing. More demand to live alone. Another thing to consider is that wages are rising slower than rents, which can make rent feel even more expensive. Since 2019, rent prices have risen at a rate 1.5 times that of wages, according to a May 7 analysis by Zillow. » MORE: 7 tips for getting an apartment without a credit check » MORE:

When will rent prices go down?

Prices have come down in some major U.S. cities, and that trend could become more widespread as apartment projects started in recent years become available to rent. In 2024, developers completed construction on more than half a million new apartments nationwide, according to research firm Yardi Matrix — the second year in a row that the number of completed apartments hit a new record, according to an August 2024 report by the rental listing service RentCafe. The report also projected that developers would finish another 2 million units by 2028. A new supply of housing is likely to slow overall rent growth or even reverse it. That’s been the story in cities like Austin, where a significant chunk of apartments finished in 2024 are located. And since many cities require inclusionary housing — meaning a portion of new housing must be affordable — new construction also means new affordable housing. A rise in rent concessions, which could include short-term discounts like weeks or months of free rent or waived fees, is another indication that rent could be ready to come down. It means property owners may be feeling more negative about their ability to find renters. Explore more on Article sources NerdWallet writers are subject matter authorities who use primary, trustworthy sources to inform their work, including peer-reviewed studies, government websites, academic research and interviews with industry experts. All content is fact-checked for accuracy, timeliness and relevance. You can learn more about NerdWallet's high standards for journalism by reading our editorial guidelines. Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University. Deteriorating Rental Affordability: An Update on America’s Rental Housing 2024. RentCafe. New Apartment Construction to Reach Historic High of Half Million in 2024, Two Million Rentals to Open by 2028. About the authors Helhoski Anna Helhoski is a senior writer covering economic news and trends in consumer finance at NerdWallet. She is an on-air contributor and producer of Money News segments for NerdWallet's Smart Money podcast. She is also an authority on student loans. She joined NerdWallet in 2014. Her work has been syndicated in news outlets nationwide including The Associated Press, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Los Angeles Times and USA Today. She previously covered local news in the New York metro area for the Daily Voice and New York state politics for The Legislative Gazette. She holds a bachelor's degree in journalism from Purchase College, State University of New York. Published in Phaneuf Taryn Phaneuf is a lead writer & content strategist covering wealth management, financial planning and other investing topics at NerdWallet. She previously reported on personal finance news. Prior to joining NerdWallet, she spent more than a decade covering education, public policy and business for various news outlets. She also taught journalism as an adjunct instructor at her alma mater, the University of Minnesota. She lives in Minnesota. Published in Why Is Everything So Expensive? Fueled by Iran War, Inflation Jumps to 3.8% Will Prices Ever Go Down? For Some Things, They Already Have Egg Prices Remain Largely Stable By Taryn Phaneuf Trump’s Tariffs Begin: Here’s What Could Get More Expensive By Taryn Phaneuf Austin Is Booming. So Why Are Rents Falling? By Taryn Phaneuf Can Trump Lower Gas Prices as President? By Taryn Phaneuf Why Is My Car Insurance So High? By Kayda Norman, Ryan Brady, CFP® Travel Inflation Report: May 2026 By Sally French, Benjamin Din Are Car Prices Going Up or Down? By Shannon Bradley How to Shop Amid Tariff Uncertainty By Kimberly Palmer Southwest Ditches Free Bags, Adds Basic Fares By Craig Joseph