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Current U.S. Inflation Rate Is 3.8%: Chart and Why It Matters

Fueled by Iran War, Inflation Jumps to 3.8%
Both major indexes, the CPI and the PCE, show inflation spiking in April, spurred by rising energy prices.
Current inflation readings
CPI for April CPI for April The consumer price index (CPI) increased 0.6% in April, compared with a 0.9% rise in March, according to the latest report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The year-over-year increase was 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March. The core CPI, excluding food and energy, was up 2.8% from a year ago, up 0.4 percentage point from March’s annual rate. » MORE: ‘Warflation’ will hit more than just gas prices » MORE: PCE for April PCE for April The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for April, released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on May 28, showed that prices rose at a 3.8% annual rate in April. Core PCE (excluding food and energy) rose at a 3.3% annual rate. Here’s what NerdWallet’s senior economist Elizabeth Renter had to say about the latest CPI figures: After accounting for inflation, the primary driver of economic growth slowed in April, as consumer spending was essentially flat. Households seem to be reining in spending a bit as they face continued elevated inflation along with the uncertainty of ongoing war. Inflation appears to be quickening, both due to the oil price shock and its downstream effects, and the ongoing impact of tariffs. While prices are rising faster than comfortable, incomes are not, putting consumers in an uncomfortable spot. Rising prices, sluggish income and economic uncertainty could set the stage for a broader pullback in consumer spending and therefore economic growth. We’ve been watching consumer sentiment measures for months and waiting for the lackluster vibes to translate to changed behavior. The longer that current pressures persist, the more likely they are to hit more and more households, and the greater chance the consumer resilience we’ve seen in recent years will falter. In other words, for an increasing share of consumers, the bad feelings about the economy are likely no longer just vibes. PPI for April PPI for April The producer price index (PPI), which tracks prices at the wholesale level, went up 1.4% in April after a 0.7% increase in March, according to the most recent data from the BLS released on May 13. The increase was the largest since March 2022 when PPI rose 1.7%. On an annual basis, the index rose 6% — the highest 12-month increase since December 2022 when PPI rose 6.4%.How inflation is measured
There are three separate reports released each month by individual government sources. Each one groups together different buckets of goods and services to measure how much prices have changed. Each index is used as a proxy for inflation: Consumer price index (CPI) Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index Producer price index (PPI) The CPI and the PPI are released each month by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), while the PCE is released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Typically, you’ll see the inflation rate reported for all items included in the reports. But it's also common to see it reported without energy or food price changes, because those categories tend to be more volatile. This version of the index is known as “core inflation.” » MORE: Run the numbers with NerdWallet’s inflation calculator. MORE: The CPI is the most commonly used inflation proxy so if someone says the inflation rate is 3.8% — the rate for April — they’re probably referring to the CPI. However, the PCE — specifically the core PCE — is the preferred inflation measure used by the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) to make decisions on interest rates.Why inflation measures matter
The CPI, PCE and PPI are indicators of how the U.S. economy is doing. Monetary policymakers consider a low, stable inflation rate to be the mark of a healthy economy. The Federal Reserve targets a 2% annual inflation rate because it encourages businesses and consumers to continue spending, saving, borrowing and investing.Meet MoneyNerd, your weekly news decoder
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When prices rise sharply, it can mean that the economy is overheated, with too much demand for or too little supply of goods and services. And of course, higher consumer prices — whether on everyday necessities like eggs or big ticket items like cars — put a strain on household budgets, especially if salaries aren’t keeping pace with inflation.